The roots of the recent events in Georgia (the nicest possible way to describe what was a hot war) lie in Kosovo’s declaration of independence earlier this year being recognised by several European powers & the US, of course – the Russian bear didn’t growl at the time. When Georgia began an attempt to recapture South Ossetia and Abkhazia, Russia responded with a massive assault on Georgia’s US-sponsored military infrastructure, and shortly after, a ground invasion.
It’s not my business to take sides in a war between two capitalist states, but it’s worth noting that Georgia initiated the fight (lesson: don’t poke bears if you don’t want to be mauled) at a time when its Western-backed US-educated President has faced massive demonstrations from the opposition.
Russia is now recognising the independence of the two break-away states, something which is infuriating the UK and US governments, and other big players within the EU.
Now, I can’t see a quick entry into the Russian Federation for either Abkhazia or South Ossetia – it would be too obvious – but it’s clear that this recognition of independence is self-serving. A few years down the line, there could possibly be the integration of the two new states within the Russian Federation – which has waited seventeen years to recognise their independence, note well. It’s also worth noting that Georgia, etc., were part of the Russian Empire, which pre-dated the Soviet Union. (So, can the anti-communist sloganeering please stop? Oh, thought not.) Within the Soviet union Ossetia and Georgia were administratively separate and the Russian govt argues Georgia annexed S. Ossetia on declaring independence. All very complicated.
So, One might ask what the fuck has all this got to do with us in Little England, or as the Brown government prefers to call it, Big Britain? Foreign Secretary David Milibliar is trying to cobble together an anti-Russian alliance with a trip to the Ukraine. Georgia and the Ukraine should be allowed to join Nato, says he, echoing the rhetoric of his clone David Cameron who has visited Georgia already. (Word is that wee David has hired “Ian Hargreaves, one-time editor of The Independent, policy wonk at Ofcom and PR man for BAA” to assist with his
leadership bid debate on New Labour’s future.)
Aside from the oil factor, I wonder, are they lying when they say it’d be easy to get an alternative route to Afghanistan if the Russians cut of access through their airspace? I wonder, because that particular conflict isn’t going well – mass civilian casualties, a stream of military deaths and injuries, etc.